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[BOAI] Important JASIST Simulation Study of Transition to OA

From: Stevan Harnad <amsciforum AT gmail.com>
Date: Sat, 23 Feb 2013 12:02:14 -0500


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Bernius, S., Hanauske, M., Dugall, B. and K=F6nig, W. (2013), Exploring the
effects of a transition to open access: Insights from a simulation
study<http://www.is-frankfurt.de/publikationenNeu/ExploringtheEffectsofaTra=
nsiti4353.pdf>.
J. Am. Soc. Inf. Sci.. doi: 10.1002/asi.22772

The Open Access (OA) movement, which postulates gratis and unrestricted
online access to publicly funded research findings, has significantly
gained momentum in recent years. The two ways of achieving OA are
self-archiving of scientific work by the authors (Green OA) and publishing
in OA journals (Gold OA). But there is still no consensus which model
should be supported in particular. The aim of this simulation study is to
discover mechanisms and predict developments that may lead to specific
outcomes of possible market transformation scenarios. It contributes to
theories related to OA by substantiating the argument of a citation
advantage of OA articles and by visualizing the mechanisms of a journal
system collapsing in the long-term due to the continuation of the serials
crisis. The practical contribution of this research stems from the
integration of all market players: Decisions regarding potential financial
support of OA models can be aligned with our findings, as well as the
decision of a publisher to migrate his/her journals to Gold OA. *Our
results indicate that for scholarly communication in general, a transition
to Green OA combined with a certain level of subscription-based publishing
and a migration of few top journals is the most beneficial development.*

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<span style=3D"font-family:Arial,&#39;Lucida 
Grande&#39;,Geneva,Verdana,Hel=
vetica,&#39;Lucida Sans 
Unicode&#39;,sans-serif;font-size:12px;line-height:=
15px;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)">Bernius, S., Hanauske, M., 
Dugall, =
B. and K=F6nig, W. (2013), <a 
href=3D"http://www.is-frankfurt.de/publikatio=
nenNeu/ExploringtheEffectsofaTransiti4353.pdf">Exploring the effects of 
a t=
ransition to open access: Insights from a simulation study</a>. J. Am. 
Soc.=
 Inf. Sci.. doi:=A010.1002/asi.22772</span><div>
<span style=3D"font-family:Arial,&#39;Lucida 
Grande&#39;,Geneva,Verdana,Hel=
vetica,&#39;Lucida Sans 
Unicode&#39;,sans-serif;font-size:12px;line-height:=
15px;background-color:rgb(255,255,255)"><br></span></div><div><span style=
=3D"font-family:Arial,&#39;Lucida 
Grande&#39;,Geneva,Verdana,Helvetica,&#39=
;Lucida Sans 
Unicode&#39;,sans-serif;font-size:12px;line-height:18px;backgr=
ound-color:rgb(255,255,255)">The Open Access (OA) movement, which 
postulate=
s gratis and unrestricted online access to publicly funded research finding=
s, has significantly gained momentum in recent years. The two ways of achie=
ving OA are self-archiving of scientific work by the authors (Green OA) and=
 publishing in OA journals (Gold OA). But there is still no consensus which=
 model should be supported in particular. The aim of this simulation study =
is to discover mechanisms and predict developments that may lead to specifi=
c outcomes of possible market transformation scenarios. It contributes to t=
heories related to OA by substantiating the argument of a citation advantag=
e of OA articles and by visualizing the mechanisms of a journal system coll=
apsing in the long-term due to the continuation of the serials crisis. The =
practical contribution of this research stems from the integration of all m=
arket players: Decisions regarding potential financial support of OA models=
 can be aligned with our findings, as well as the decision of a publisher t=
o migrate his/her journals to Gold OA. <b>Our results indicate that for 
sch=
olarly communication in general, a transition to Green OA combined with a c=
ertain level of subscription-based publishing and a migration of few top jo=
urnals is the most beneficial development.</b></span></div>

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